Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.463422 6.162221e-01 0.791886 1.005716 1.255953 1.536657 1.872441
2025-04-20 0.255469 4.350967e-01 0.673959 1.000472 1.421220 1.932117 2.586114
2025-04-27 0.139732 3.156994e-01 0.588328 1.003540 1.584227 2.334820 3.345303
2025-05-04 0.066552 2.162618e-01 0.493193 0.964425 1.676208 2.648469 4.014054
2025-05-11 0.027673 1.454151e-01 0.412655 0.921357 1.746746 2.930139 4.652665
2025-05-18 0.011445 1.063996e-01 0.370811 0.926140 1.881143 3.302664 5.427811
2025-05-25 0.003013 7.115093e-02 0.317381 0.894481 1.948670 3.577371 6.075853
2025-06-01 0.000948 5.856107e-02 0.311647 0.949828 2.160577 4.073823 7.053949
2025-06-08 0.000071 4.214943e-02 0.284242 0.953289 2.281015 4.434440 7.847206
2025-06-15 0.000002 3.719473e-02 0.290843 1.030515 2.535865 5.012367 8.973886
2025-06-22 NaN 3.024360e-02 0.285091 1.077490 2.737681 5.513235 9.999640
2025-06-29 NaN 2.267051e-02 0.269827 1.097825 2.889786 5.938833 10.923104
2025-07-06 NaN 1.375273e-02 0.236672 1.067474 2.946473 6.218996 11.647706
2025-07-13 NaN 9.198778e-03 0.220486 1.077840 3.082713 6.635094 12.591390
2025-07-20 NaN 5.951795e-03 0.206119 1.089407 3.221094 7.058803 13.556690
2025-07-27 NaN 2.752283e-03 0.178309 1.052274 3.254534 7.304621 14.251088
2025-08-03 NaN 9.551329e-04 0.151639 1.008701 3.268084 7.514159 14.891421
2025-08-10 NaN 3.864273e-04 0.140619 1.014920 3.389349 7.914288 15.840896
2025-08-17 NaN 5.154620e-05 0.120974 0.981784 3.418331 8.150614 16.532573
2025-08-24 NaN 2.469333e-05 0.124411 1.041043 3.663057 8.779828 17.867728
2025-08-31 NaN 3.322524e-07 0.115155 1.044891 3.778164 9.177633 18.835163
2025-09-07 NaN 1.750761e-07 0.123512 1.127138 4.083247 9.927834 20.386538
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.124560 1.177106 4.313324 10.545676 21.730733